The University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences’ (UAMS) Fay W. Boozman College of Public Health (COPH) faculty conducted four types of assessments for this month’s report: 1) a look at the pandemic in Arkansas from a longer-term perspective; 2) forecasts and projections of cases and maps of community spread; 3) forecast models of hospitalizations; and 4) forecast models of COVID-19 deaths.
All forecasts and projections were developed using COVID-19 data from the Arkansas Department of Health through April 10.
Quick Facts from the Report are:
- The 30-day models are forecasting 12,963 new cases by May 10. New daily cases are expected to average 432 per day.
- The 30-day model forecasts 997 new COVID hospitalizations by May 10, averaging 33 per day.
- The 30-day model is forecasting an average of 14 COVID-19 deaths per day for the next two weeks, adding 632 new deaths over the next 30 days, averaging 21 per day.
The models show the number of new cases, hospitalizations, and deaths due to COVID-19 in the next 30 days, compared to one month ago, will continue to be flat.